Policy Note 4 – A Brexit Youthquake?
Over two-thirds (68%) of students now back Labour, but most of them think Labour (55%) and Jeremy Corbyn (58%) back Remain.
The Higher Education Policy Institute and YouthSight have polled students for their current political views, voting intentions and opinions about Brexit. The results are being published in A Brexit Youthquake (HEPI Policy Note 4) by Jane Mackey, Research Manager at YouthSight, and Nick Hillman, Director of the Higher Education Policy Institute (HEPI).
Nick Hillman said:
“Students are often regarded as having a fixed place somewhere on the left of the political spectrum. But no political party can take them for granted.”
“Jeremy Corbyn did incredibly well among students and in university cities at this year’s general election. However, this strong support could turn out to be as soft as past student support for the Liberal Democrats. It all depends on Labour’s position in relation to Brexit for nearly all students oppose the UK leaving the EU.”
“While two-thirds of students back Labour, over half of them think Labour is a pro-Remain party. If their perceptions changed, then a high proportion would be less likely to support the party or to abstain from politics.”
Ben Marks, Managing Director of YouthSight, said:
“Our data show that students’ understanding of Labour’s position on Brexit is based more on hope and projection than understanding and reality.”
“Jeremy Corbyn and the Labour Party need to make their position on Brexit crystal clear if they want to retain the support of students. If they don’t, then the party could find their much-vaunted youth vote simply melts away.”
“Given Labour’s standing in the national polls currently, the party’s position on Brexit could be the crucial factor determining whether or not they taste victory at the next election.”
The policy note was authored by YouthSight’s Jane Mackey and HEPI director, Nick Hillman.
- Full press release – http://www.youthsight.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/HEPI-Policy-Note-4-A-Brexit-Youthquake13_12_17.pdf
- Full tables – http://www.youthsight.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/HO2542W1-Voting-Qs-Tables-w-Weighting-02301117.xlsx
- For our Interactive Student Voting Chart stretching back to 2004, see https://www.youthsight.com/student-voting-intentions-interactive-graph/
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- This poll builds on work undertaken by both HEPI and Youthsight on students’ political impact. For example, HEPI has previously published two full-length reports on the political impact of students: Do students swing elections? Registration, turnout and voting behaviour among full-time students by Stephen Fisher and Nick Hillman (December 2014); and Students and the 2015 general election: Did they make a difference? by Nick Hillman (October 2015).
- Wave 4 of the HEPI-Youthsight Monitor was conducted between 23 and 29 November 2017 among 1,018 students using YouthSight’s Student Omnibus survey, which is the UK’s largest panel of young people. The Monitor has been running since 2015: Wave 1 covered students’ perceptions of the UK’s membership of the EU (2015); Wave 2 considered free-speech issues (2016); and Wave 3 looked at how students were likely to vote in the 2017 election (2017).
- HEPI was established in 2002 to shape the higher education policy debate through evidence. HEPI is a UK-wide, independent and non-partisan. HEPI is funded by organisations and universities that wish to see a vibrant higher education debate as well as through our own events.
- YouthSight was established in 2004. We help clients see the world through the eyes of young people, students and young professionals. Our three specialist practice teams provide the insights and data that universities, brands and policy-makers, market research and advertising agencies need. Our findings are regularly in the news, helping to fuel debates around Gen Y and Gen Z, trends in higher education and best practice in youth research. We own and manage The OpinionPanel Community – the UK’s largest youth research community, comprised of 135,000 16-30 year olds; all ready and willing to take part in research surveys, online communities and co-creation exercises. Since our foundation, one of our core principles has been to treat our research participants with respect and pay them decent incentives. That’s why clients know that we’re able to provide very high quality primary research. Additionally, we develop fantastic award-winning research tools, hire super-smart consultants and really care about customer service.
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